The bilateral relationship between China and Taiwan

Lee Viktor (2024) The bilateral relationship between China and Taiwan. Külkereskedelmi Kar.

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Absztrakt (kivonat)

In the confrontation between the two sides of the Strait, Taiwan is far inferior to mainlandChina in terms of population, land area and mineral resources. Therefore, it is not surprisingthat Taiwan had to withdraw from the United Nations in 1971. Today only 11 countries havediplomatic relations with Taiwan, in international activities, Taiwan can hardly use the officialcountry name:”The Republic of China” or the geographic name “Taiwan” instead of these,Taiwan can only use the name “Chinese Taipei”; or Taiwan area. However, after so many yearsof confrontation between the two sides of the Strait, although the PRC has repeatedly exertedpressure and intimidation on Taiwan in terms of politics and force, Taiwan can still survive.The most important reason for this can be attributed to the U.S support for Taiwan. Therefore,when politicians and scholars from PRC and Taiwan talk about Cross-Strait issues, theycannot avoid touching on the topic of the triangular relationship between the United States,China, and Taiwan.Despite the turbulent political relations across the Taiwan Strait, economic and tradeexchanges and interactions have become increasingly active since 1978. However, Taiwan'sreliance on mainland China for trade and investment has grown too fast since the early 1990s.In addition, China's economic and trade policies have always kept the united front in mind.After the PRC became the world's second-largest economy, it had a greater dominance overTaiwan's economy and trade. Therefore, reducing Taiwan's dependence on China's trade,foreign trade surplus, and investment has now become the consensus of Taiwan's ruling andopposition parties.The successive leaders of the CCP all want to unify the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, inorder to leave a mark on the history of China. At the 18th National Congress of theCommunist Party of China in 2012, Xi Jinping already proposed to realize “the Chinese” of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. In October 2022, he was re-elected atthe 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China for the third time as GeneralSecretary of the CCPFC. In the future, Xi Jinping is expected to work harder to realize his"Chinese dream ", and Taiwan will therefore come under greater pressure from the mainlandto push for reunification. Of course, there is a risk of war between the two sides of the Strait.However, in the foreseeable future, China may still maintain close economic and traderelations with Taiwan by "promoting reunification through the economy” and will try to avoidthe use of force to unify Taiwan because, under international intervention and sanctions led bythe United States, China's use of force against Taiwan will surely pay a very high price.However, even if the PRC does not use force against Taiwan in the short term, it will stillstrengthen its united front propaganda campaign against Taiwan and conduct militaryexercises around Taiwan from time to time to intimidate Taiwan.Since Taiwan is too concentrated and dependent on China in its economy, trade, andinvestment, it will inevitably strive to strengthen commercial and trade ties with Indo-Pacificcountries to reduce national security risks. Militarily, faced with CCP threats, Taiwan iscommitted to bolstering its national defence armaments to meet potential future challenges.Politically and diplomatically, Taipei will seek to strengthen substantive ties with the UnitedStates, Japan and other Indo-Pacific countries.Today, the trend of Cross-Strait relations is not only related to regional peace and stability butwill also affect the future of the global political and economic order. Therefore, theinternational community will pay much more attention to Cross-Strait interactions in thefuture. In view of the fact that the trend of Cross-Strait relations involves U.S nationalinterests and the establishment of a new world order, the United States will continue to engagein exchanges between China and Taiwan in the future. Thus, the future trend of Cross-Straitrelations will still depend on the interaction of the trilateral relationship between the UnitedStates, China, and Taiwan.

Intézmény

Budapesti Gazdasági Egyetem

Kar

Külkereskedelmi Kar

Tanszék

Nemzetközi Kapcsolatok Tanszék

Tudományterület/tudományág

NEM RÉSZLETEZETT

Szak

Nemzetközi gazdálkodás

Mű típusa:	diplomadolgozat (NEM RÉSZLETEZETT)
Kulcsszavak:	China, economic development, imbalance, Interaction, investment, Taiwan, Two-State Theory
SWORD Depositor:	Archive User
Felhasználói azonosító szám (ID):	Archive User
Rekord készítés dátuma:	2024. Szep. 26. 08:01
Utolsó módosítás:	2024. Szep. 26. 08:01

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